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“In practice, we are already living in a world 1.5 degrees Celsius warmer”

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Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 09/11/2026, 17:05:26 UTC.

Briefings

A Nature Climate Change study published in 2025 concluded that regional warming in 2025 was already statistically indistinguishable from the expected warming under a 1.5°C scenario. This finding indicates that local temperature increases were already occurring at levels consistent with the most ambitious climate targets, challenging the notion that such warming is solely a future risk.

Key points

• Regional warming in 2025 was statistically indistinguishable from the expected warming under a 1.5°C scenario.
• The study was published in Nature Climate Change in 2025.

Context

This research challenges the assumption that 1.5°C warming is a distant future risk, suggesting local warming was already occurring at levels consistent with the most ambitious climate targets.

Limitations

The evidence is limited to a single study from 2025 and does not provide long-term trends, regional breakdowns, or specific temperature values.

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