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Here's how much bitcoin and the S&P 500 could rally after midterms

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Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 28/10/2026, 09:55:24 UTC.

Briefings

A 2026 analysis suggests Bitcoin and the S&P 500 may rally post-midterms, citing historical patterns. The article notes that while both assets typically gain after midterms, Bitcoin's recent performance could also align with its four-year halving cycles, though this remains a hypothesis rather than a confirmed trend.

Key points

• Historical data indicates both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have shown positive returns in the year following U.S. midterms.
• Bitcoin's recent gains may be attributed to its four-year halving cycle rather than solely to post-midterm sentiment.

Context

This analysis examines market movements following U.S. midterms, noting that while both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 typically rally after midterms, Bitcoin's specific performance could also align with its four-year halving cycle.

Limitations

The analysis relies on historical patterns and does not confirm a causal link between midterms and Bitcoin's current gains. The four-year halving cycle explanation is a hypothesis, not a confirmed trend. The study covers only the period immediately following the 2026 midterms and does not account for long-term structural factors beyond the halving cycle.

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