Climate
Analysis: China’s clean-tech exports in 2026 to avoid as much CO2 as Brazil emits in a year
Publication: Carbon Brief
Author: Lauri Myllyvirta
Source published: 29/10/2026, 07:51:24 UTC
Briefing created: 29/10/2026, 09:05:44 UTC
Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 29/10/2026, 09:05:25 UTC.
Briefings
A 2026 analysis by Carbon Brief estimates China's clean-tech exports will avoid 450 million tonnes of CO2 annually, equivalent to Brazil's emissions. Electric vehicle shipments grew 61% in Q1-Q3 2026, while solar exports generated 436 GW of installed capacity globally. The analysis accounts for both destination emissions and manufacturing impacts in China.
Key points
- China's clean-tech exports in 2026 are projected to avoid 450 million tonnes of CO2 annually, equivalent to Brazil's annual emissions.
- Electric vehicle shipments from China grew 61% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2026, contributing significantly to avoided emissions.
Context
This analysis by Carbon Brief examines China's clean-energy technology exports in 2026, accounting for avoided emissions in destination countries and manufacturing impacts in China. The data covers solar panels, batteries, electric vehicles, and wind turbines, with a focus on how these exports enable market growth in the Global South.
Limitations
The 450 million tonnes CO2 avoidance estimate is based on year-on-year growth rates from Q1-Q3 2026 and is projected for the full year 2026. Manufacturing emissions in China are included in the calculation, and the analysis relies on Energy Institute data for destination emissions.
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