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Minas Gerais: the barometer that decides Brazil

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Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 26/10/2026, 00:01:24 UTC.

Briefings

Since 1989, the state of Minas Gerais has consistently won the presidential election in Brazil, with Bolsonaro securing 589,000 votes in 2022. Lula later reclaimed the state's support in the 2026 election, though the specific vote count for Belo Horizonte and Ipatinga remains unspecified in the provided evidence.

Key points

• Bolsonaro won the 2022 Brazilian presidential election with 589,000 votes in Minas Gerais.
• Lula reclaimed support in Minas Gerais in the 2026 election, though specific vote totals for Belo Horizonte and Ipatinga are not provided.

Context

This briefing examines the long-standing political trend where Minas Gerais consistently delivers the highest vote share for the Brazilian presidency, a pattern observed since 1989.

Limitations

The evidence is limited to the 2022 and 2026 election results. Specific vote counts for Belo Horizonte and Ipatinga in the 2026 election are not provided, and the exact year of Lula's return to the state is not specified.

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