Climate

UNEP: Opportunity has ‘been lost’ to meet 1.5C warming limit without ‘overshoot’

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Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 31/10/2026, 14:35:25 UTC.

Briefings

UNEP's 2026 report states that exceeding the 1.5C warming limit is inevitable due to decades of insufficient action, with the current emissions gap remaining large. While the report identifies an opportunity to limit peak warming and shorten overshoot duration, it notes that current pledges would only reduce emissions by 5-8% by 2030. The report highlights that 95% of nations missed their 2035 NDC submission deadlines, with only 63% of countries producing new pledges by the end of COP30 in November 2025.

Key points

• UNEP's 2026 report states that exceeding the 1.5C warming limit is inevitable due to decades of insufficient action, with the current emissions gap remaining large.
• The report highlights that 95% of nations missed their 2035 NDC submission deadlines, with only 63% of countries producing new pledges by the end of COP30 in November 2025.

Context

The report, titled 'The point of return', is a sobering annual assessment of the global emissions gap. It identifies an opportunity to accelerate action to limit peak warming and establish a credible return path to 1.5C by the end of the century, though current pledges fall significantly short of targets.

Limitations

Emissions figures for 2025 are provisional and not possible to conclude on the overall direction. Data excludes LULUCF due to inventory lag, and uncertainty remains high around specific numbers. The report does not provide causal claims or opinions on the causes of the emissions gap.

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