AI
The U.S. Census Bureau and “Super Intelligence”
Publication: Simon Willison's Weblog
Author: Not available in collected metadata
Source published: 02/11/2026, 13:31:26 UTC
Briefing created: 03/11/2026, 05:58:51 UTC
Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 03/11/2026, 05:42:24 UTC.
Briefings
The U.S. Census Bureau's Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS) data shows a significant increase in reported AI usage among large U.S. companies from 12% in September 2025 to 40% by October 2026. This rise coincides with a change in survey wording from 'producing goods or services' to 'any business function' on November 17, 2025, and further to 'Super Intelligence' on October 19, 2026. The evidence indicates a potential reporting bias due to these changes, though the causal impact remains uncertain.
Key points
- Large U.S. companies reported 12% AI usage in producing goods or services in September 2025, rising to 40% by October 2026.
- The survey question wording changed from 'producing goods or services' to 'any business function' on November 17, 2025, and to 'Super Intelligence' on October 19, 2026.
Context
The Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS) cycles every twelve weeks to 200,000 businesses from 1.2 million total, with data published on alternating Thursdays. The survey tracks AI adoption trends for large companies, though the specific impact of recent wording changes on survey results remains unclear.
Limitations
The evidence is limited to the U.S. Census Bureau's BTOS survey data from September 2025 to October 2026. The causal link between the survey wording changes and the reported increase in AI usage is not established, and the survey results may not be fully representative of all large U.S. companies.
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