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Winter is coming: Putin seeks to 'hammer Ukrainians, their power grid, their water supplies'

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Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 13/11/2026, 09:53:24 UTC.

Briefings

A 2026 analysis by Mark Galeotti, Executive Director of Mayak Intelligence and Honorary Professor at University College London, warns that Russia's war on Ukraine is unlikely to end via negotiation due to irreconcilable territorial demands. The article highlights the Donbas dispute as a major obstacle, noting Putin's goal to control the entire region while Ukraine refuses to surrender held territory. Galeotti suggests Moscow's maximalist vision masks a complex strategy, but the core finding is the deadlock over Donbas. The source is a preprint from November 2026, with limited coverage of specific dates beyond the publication date.

Key points

• Mark Galeotti, Executive Director of Mayak Intelligence and Honorary Professor at University College London, is the author of the analysis.
• The territorial dispute over Donbas presents a formidable obstacle, as Putin's determination to claim control over the entire region confronts Ukraine's refusal to surrender held territory.

Context

This briefing analyzes a 2026 article by Mark Galeotti, Executive Director of Mayak Intelligence and Honorary Professor at University College London, regarding Russia's war on Ukraine. The context is the ongoing conflict where diplomatic efforts to end the war remain unlikely due to Russia's irreconcilable territorial demands.

Limitations

The evidence is a single preprint from November 2026 with limited coverage of specific dates beyond the publication date. The analysis relies on Galeotti's interpretation of Moscow's strategy, and the specific timeline of the Donbas conflict is not detailed beyond the general conflict context.

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