WorldPolitics

Brazil presidential election: 'Bolsonaro being ahead is a surprise,' researcher says

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Based on a feed excerpt; full article content has not been acquired. Source evidence retrieved 05/10/2026, 12:53:24 UTC.

Briefings

A research fellow at CEVIPOF reported that Brazilian far-right candidate Flavio Bolsonaro won the first round of the presidential election with 47 percent against incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula de Silva's 45 percent, defying most polls. This outcome occurred in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election, marking the first time a candidate behind in the first round succeeded in the second. The evidence comes from a direct interview with Thomas Zicman de Barros, a research fellow at CEVIPOF and columnist for RFI, who stated that this event has never happened before in Brazilian history.

Key points

• Flavio Bolsonaro secured 47 percent of the vote in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election, surpassing incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula de Silva's 45 percent.
• Thomas Zicman de Barros, a research fellow at CEVIPOF, confirmed that this result represents the first time in Brazilian history that a candidate behind in the first round has won the second round.

Context and limitations

The evidence is limited to a single interview with Thomas Zicman de Barros from CEVIPOF and RFI regarding the 2026 Brazilian presidential election results.

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